TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC?

Volume:
$2,746,897

Queretaro

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 9:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Queretaro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$957,529
N/A
N/A
$545,457
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Querétaro FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$44,518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guadalajara

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,204,165
N/A
N/A
$769,217
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Guadalajara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,996
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$471,409
N/A
N/A
$238,915
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Liga MX soccer match between CD Guadalajara and Querétaro FC on September 26, 2026, specifically forecasting whether Querétaro FC will win within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the aggregated probability of Querétaro FC winning is 100.0%, while CD Guadalajara winning is estimated at 0.1%. This consensus view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution determined by the official results reported at https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. Keep an eye on September 27, 2026, as this is the estimated date for final resolution of the match outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves 'No' on complete cancellation, while Kalshi's logic is silent on this scenario, implying a result is still expected.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket markets will likely be more impacted by the possibility of the game being canceled without a reschedule.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". Otherwise, resolution is based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation is not explicitly addressed, implying a result is still expected.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between CD Guadalajara and Querétaro FC.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, between Guadalajara and Queretaro, resolving solely based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty kicks. If Guadalajara scores more goals than Queretaro by the end of regular time, the 'Guadalajara' market resolves positively. Conversely, if Queretaro scores more goals, the 'Queretaro' market resolves positively. Should both teams finish with an equal score, the 'Tie' market resolves positively. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.

Frequently asked questions

The Liga MX match market dashboard on PredictionHero aggregates real-time forecasts from multiple prediction market platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the probability of different outcomes for the CD Guadalajara versus Querétaro FC match. Currently, the aggregated volume for this market is $2,746,897, with $2,608,152 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to see where the 'wisdom of the crowd' currently stands on the likely result, and how that view is evolving as new information becomes available. The dashboard tracks the overall volume and probability shifts across these platforms.

Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially as more information emerges. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets and may adjust their odds based on factors beyond pure probability, such as public perception or liability management. This market provides a distinct perspective on the likely result.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either CD Guadalajara or Querétaro FC could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on shifts in the perceived likelihood of each outcome in this market.