TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 11:48 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga MX game between CD Guadalajara and FC Juárez, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Guadalajara" if CD Guadalajara score more goals than FC Juárez in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CD Guadalajara and FC Juárez score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Juárez" if FC Juárez score more goals than CD Guadalajara in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Liga MX game between CD Guadalajara and FC Juárez, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Guadalajara" if CD Guadalajara score more goals than FC Juárez in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CD Guadalajara and FC Juárez score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Juárez" if FC Juárez score more goals than CD Guadalajara in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. Prediction markets tend to incorporate breaking news and sentiment shifts more rapidly, sometimes pricing in developments that traditional sportsbooks lag on. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of all active traders at that moment. As traders buy shares they believe are undervalued, the price rises; selling pressure drives it down. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction, creating a dynamic real-time probability estimate for the second-half result.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the Guadalajara vs. Juárez match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score and result recorded for the second half only, independent of the first-half scoreline. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to see confirmed results before the market settles. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or postponed under circumstances specified by the platform.
Several catalysts can shift odds before this market resolves. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp repricing. First-half performance is a major signal; a team dominating possession or scoring early typically strengthens their second-half odds. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and tactical adjustments made at halftime can also influence trader sentiment. Late-breaking injury reports or unexpected tactical shifts during the first half may prompt rapid position adjustments. Monitoring pre-match analysis and live commentary helps traders stay ahead of sentiment swings.