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$134.1b

24H VOL:

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405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez?

Volume:
$4,080,633

Guadalajara

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 9:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guadalajara

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,484,430
N/A
N/A
$719,971
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CD Guadalajara

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$130,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Juarez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,292,015
N/A
N/A
$932,660
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Juárez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,569
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,039,962
N/A
N/A
$683,845
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Liga MX soccer match between CD Guadalajara and FC Juárez. The aggregated consensus probability for a CD Guadalajara win stands at 100.0%, with a draw at 0.1%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi and resolving via official results at ligamx.net. The final resolution will occur after the match window ending on July 25, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's Draw market resolves to Yes if the game is canceled with no make-up, while Kalshi markets lack explicit cancellation guidance, creating potential outcome divergence in a cancellation scenario.Hero tip: Monitor Liga MX official channels (ligamx.net) for any cancellation or postponement notices. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket Draw resolves Yes but Kalshi resolution is unclear—contact Kalshi support for clarification on their cancellation fallback before the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Guadalajara Win (resolves Yes if Guadalajara wins, No otherwise; No if canceled with no make-up), Draw (resolves Yes if draw, Yes if canceled with no make-up, No otherwise), Juárez Win (resolves Yes if Juárez wins, No otherwise; No if canceled with no make-up). Primary source: official Liga MX statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (Draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Three binary markets covering all outcomes: Guadalajara Win, Juárez Win, Tie. Each resolves Yes if that specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implicit assumption: resolution requires an actual match result; cancellation scenario is not addressed. Key Quote: 'If Guadalajara wins...then the market resolves to Yes' (outcome-dependent only; no contingency language).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between CD Guadalajara and FC Juárez.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Guadalajara vs Juarez Liga MX match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match outcome is classified into three mutually exclusive results: a Guadalajara victory, a Juarez victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules rather than to any specific outcome.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Guadalajara vs. Juárez match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading venues for sports event forecasting. Traders on both platforms are pricing the likelihood of each possible outcome in real time. The cross-platform view lets you compare how different communities of predictors assess the matchup, revealing consensus strength or divergence in expectations. Together, these markets reflect aggregate trader conviction about the result, offering a dynamic alternative to traditional sportsbook odds.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, are driven purely by supply and demand among traders with real money at stake. This can make prediction market prices more responsive to new information and less subject to house margins. However, sportsbooks may have deeper liquidity in some events, and comparing the two can reveal where market consensus diverges from professional oddsmaking.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can lead to price variations even on the same underlying event. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different market mechanics, settlement rules, or user bases with distinct information access or trading strategies. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge when prices diverge significantly, though transaction costs and platform friction typically keep spreads modest. Monitoring both venues helps you spot where consensus is strongest and where uncertainty remains.

Team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical shifts—often triggers sharp price moves in sports prediction markets. Pre-match analysis, expert commentary, and betting syndicate activity can also shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form or head-to-head history may influence positioning as the match approaches. Social media momentum and late-breaking developments can create volatility in the final hours. Monitoring sports news and platform activity together helps you anticipate where odds may shift before the event concludes.