Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the official match outcome between CD Guadalajara and Club León FC on March 18, 2026, considering only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga MX statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
The match outcome is determined solely by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Guadalajara wins (YES on Kalshi market 1, YES on Polymarket Guadalajara market), Draw (YES on Kalshi market 2, YES on Polymarket Draw market), or León wins (YES on Kalshi market 3, YES on Polymarket León market).
Exactly one of the three Kalshi markets and exactly one of the three Polymarket markets will resolve YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Kalshi markets resolve based on the cancellation outcome (implicitly NO for all), and Polymarket Guadalajara and León markets resolve NO while the Draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match scheduled for March 18, 2026 is postponed, both platforms keep their markets open until the match is completed and resolved based on the actual final result.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled makeup game, Polymarket Guadalajara and León markets resolve NO, while the Draw market resolves YES. Kalshi's three markets implicitly resolve based on no match occurring.
Resolution Source Timing: Both platforms prioritize official Liga MX and governing body statistics. If these are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Liga MX or the governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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