TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 1:18 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CD Garcilaso and FC Cajamarca, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Garcilaso" if CD Garcilaso are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Cajamarca" if FC Cajamarca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between CD Garcilaso and FC Cajamarca, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Garcilaso" if CD Garcilaso are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Cajamarca" if FC Cajamarca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate real-time trader sentiment rather than relying on oddsmakers' models alone. Sportsbooks aim to balance action and manage risk; prediction markets reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen. This market may show different implied probabilities than you'd find at a conventional sportsbook, especially as new information emerges or as the event date approaches. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from professional bookmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 (or 0% to 100%), representing the implied probability that outcome will occur. As traders buy shares of an outcome, its price rises; as they sell, it falls. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction right up until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, once the match has concluded and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regular play. Once the event is confirmed, this market will settle automatically based on the verified result. Traders holding shares of the winning outcome will receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Team news—injuries to key strikers, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift odds in either direction. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day may also sway expectations about scoring likelihood. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking roster updates or betting-market activity elsewhere can trigger repricing. Traders actively monitor these signals and adjust their positions, causing the odds to fluctuate in real time.