TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 10:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CD Comerciantes Unidos and Club Alianza Lima, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Comerciantes Unidos" if CD Comerciantes Unidos are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Alianza Lima" if Club Alianza Lima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between CD Comerciantes Unidos and Club Alianza Lima, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Comerciantes Unidos" if CD Comerciantes Unidos are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Alianza Lima" if Club Alianza Lima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than a sportsbook's opening line, especially if one venue has sharper or more active participation on this specific outcome. Neither is inherently more accurate; comparison between the two can highlight where informed traders see value relative to conventional bookmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as new trades flow in, reflecting the collective assessment of which team is favored to score first. The system incentivizes arbitrage and information discovery, so prices tend to tighten as the event approaches and new information becomes available. You can buy or sell shares at the displayed price, and your position updates instantly based on market movement.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in the match. Resolution occurs after the event is confirmed through credible public reporting, ensuring accuracy and fairness to all traders. Until that point, prices will continue to fluctuate based on live match developments, team performance, and incoming information that affects trader conviction.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before kickoff and during the match. Pre-match catalysts include team lineups, injury announcements, weather conditions, and recent form. Early match events—such as an early chance, a red card, or tactical adjustments—can dramatically reprrice the odds as traders update their expectations. Momentum swings, possession patterns, and attacking intensity all influence trader positioning. Additionally, any last-minute news about player availability or tactical changes can trigger sharp repricing as the market absorbs new information.