TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. Club Alianza Atlético
Volume:
$22,954
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
CD Comerciantes Unidos will face Club Alianza Atlético in a Peru Liga 1 match scheduled for April 22, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard three-way soccer match with potential outcomes: Comerciantes win, Alianza Atlético win, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Comerciantes win, draw, or Alianza win), making it logically impossible to resolve to NO. This is a fundamental logical contradiction that renders the Kalshi market unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as written—it contains a logical error that guarantees YES resolution regardless of match outcome. Polymarket markets are coherent: exactly one of the three outcomes will resolve YES, and the others NO. Trade only on Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets covering all possible outcomes: Comerciantes win (YES/NO), draw (YES/NO), and Alianza win (YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES; the other two resolve NO. Resolution source is official Liga 1.pe statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, with fallback to credible reporting consensus.
- Kalshi: Single market with three conditions, each stating 'then the market resolves to Yes': (1) If Comerciantes wins, resolve YES; (2) If Tie occurs, resolve YES; (3) If Alianza wins, resolve YES. No NO resolution condition is defined. This creates a logical impossibility—the market must resolve YES regardless of the actual match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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