TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CD Castellón vs. UD Almería
polymarket
kalshi

CD Castellón vs. UD Almería

Volume:
$527,736

CD Castellón

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 2, 2026

Closed: Apr 2, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

CD Castellón

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$209,839
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Castellon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,457
N/A
N/A
$30,410
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Almeria

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102,427
N/A
N/A
$65,962
Settled
No
polymarket

UD Almería

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CD Castellón vs. UD Almería)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,807
N/A
N/A
$29,185
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

CD Castellón and UD Almería will compete in a La Liga 2 (Spanish second division) match on April 2, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three possible results: a Castellón victory, an Almería victory, or a draw. This is a standard league fixture with no special circumstances anticipated.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Castellón win, draw, Almería win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three non-mutually-exclusive markets that all resolve YES simultaneously for the same match outcome, creating a logical contradiction.Hero tip: Do not trade across both platforms assuming equivalent exposure. On Polymarket, buying all three outcomes at any price guarantees exactly one YES payout. On Kalshi, all three markets resolve YES for any match result, making them redundant. Arbitrage or hedge positions carefully — the platforms settle fundamentally different contract structures for the same event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures the market as three mutually exclusive binary outcomes where exactly one resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. The draw market uniquely resolves YES if the game is canceled with no make-up. Key quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three separate non-mutually-exclusive markets that all resolve YES for any single match outcome (one YES for Castellón win, one YES for Almería win, one YES for tie). All three markets resolve YES simultaneously based on the actual match result. Key quote: 'If Castellon wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Almeria wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.