TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 5:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Caxias do Sul and Figueirense in the Brasileiro Serie C league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event determines the result of the Caxias do Sul vs Figueirense professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer match scheduled for August 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Caxias do Sul win, Figueirense win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The resolution exclusively considers the result after normal time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to varied trader sentiment and liquidity dynamics. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and sharp money, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their outlooks. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal gaps in perception and potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through their bets, which reflect the current consensus on each possible outcome. The top outcome’s chance percentage shows what the market thinks is most likely, influenced by recent news, team performance, and betting volume. As more participants place trades, these prices adjust to balance supply and demand, capturing the evolving expectations leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, which is then matched against the market’s defined outcomes. Traders can monitor trusted sports news sources for confirmed scores and game details that will finalize the market’s settlement.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, high-profile performances in prior matches, media coverage, and betting trends may influence price adjustments. As the event nears, any new information that impacts the perceived likelihood of each team winning or drawing can cause noticeable swings in the odds on Kalshi.