TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 6:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the total goals scored during only the first half of the Caxias do Sul vs Botafogo Brasileiro Serie C match on July 26, 2026. Only goals scored before halftime count toward resolution.
Resolution is determined by the combined goals scored by Caxias do Sul and Botafogo during the first half only of their Brasileiro Serie C match scheduled for July 26, 2026. Goals scored in the second half, extra time, or from penalties do not count. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price. Each outcome corresponds to a specific first-half goal threshold, with resolution to Yes if the total exceeds that threshold.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction directly into prices, which can sometimes offer sharper or earlier signals than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to kickoff. Both sources are useful reference points for assessing the likelihood of first-half goal totals.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen prices. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the marginal agreement between buyers and sellers; as new information or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and offers, causing prices to move in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price or take the best available offer immediately, with all pricing transparent and visible on the live order book.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, once the Caxias do Sul versus Botafogo match concludes and the first-half goal total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official goal count recorded during the opening 45 minutes of play. All positions will settle based on the verified final result, and traders will receive payouts according to the outcome they predicted.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before kickoff and during the first half. Team news—such as injuries to key forwards or defensive players—can alter expected goal-scoring patterns. Lineup announcements and tactical adjustments announced shortly before the match often trigger repricing. Early match action, including early goals, missed chances, or red cards, will drive sharp price movements as traders update their expectations in real time. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form trends can also influence trader sentiment and order flow leading up to and during the first 45 minutes.