TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianmarco Ferrari and Roberto Carballes Baena in the Cattolica, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianmarco Ferrari' if Gianmarco Ferrari advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Gianmarco Ferrari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in margins, while prediction markets price based on collective belief. For the Ferrari vs Carballes Baena match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal where smart money disagrees with conventional oddsmakers. These gaps sometimes signal value opportunities or highlight uncertainty analysts haven't fully priced in.
On Polymarket, the Ferrari vs Carballes Baena match is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of liquidity and recent trades on each outcome. As traders place orders, prices shift to balance supply and demand. Polymarket's transparent order book allows you to see depth and recent transaction history, making it easy to track how sentiment evolves as the match approaches and new information emerges.
The Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena market resolves on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the tennis match held in Cattolica. The market will settle based on which player wins the contest, with the winning outcome paying out and the losing outcome expiring worthless. Traders should monitor official tournament schedules and any scheduling changes that might affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could shift odds for the Ferrari vs Carballes Baena match. Recent form and head-to-head records matter significantly in tennis prediction markets. Injury reports or player withdrawals would trigger sharp repricing. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and tournament seeding can all influence trader expectations. News about either player's recent matches, fitness level, or mental state may prompt position adjustments. As the match date approaches, any official announcements regarding scheduling or player status will likely drive volume and volatility in the market.