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400,720

Markets across

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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Catalunya Grand Prix: Driver Winner
polymarket
kalshi

Catalunya Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Volume:
$3,635,219

Lewis Hamilton

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 3:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lewis Hamilton

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$889,925
N/A
N/A
$466,389
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lewis Hamilton

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$262,394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

George Russell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$548,398
N/A
N/A
$334,732
Settled
No
polymarket

George Russell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193,407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$494,043
N/A
N/A
$382,721
Settled
No
polymarket

Kimi Antonelli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Max Verstappen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$183,018
N/A
N/A
$174,753
Settled
No
polymarket

Max Verstappen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Charles Leclerc

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$182,915
N/A
N/A
$158,697
Settled
No
polymarket

Charles Leclerc

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lando Norris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$134,048
N/A
N/A
$127,020
Settled
No
polymarket

Lando Norris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$89,609
N/A
N/A
$82,955
Settled
No
polymarket

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Isack Hadjar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Isack Hadjar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,593
N/A
N/A
$13,593
Settled
No
polymarket

Nico Hulkenberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nico Hulkenberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,611
N/A
N/A
$1,611
Settled
No
polymarket

Oliver Bearman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oliver Bearman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,058
N/A
N/A
$1,058
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Albon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,070
N/A
N/A
$13,070
Settled
No
polymarket

Alexander Albon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pierre Gasly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,892
N/A
N/A
$10,892
Settled
No
polymarket

Pierre Gasly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fernando Alonso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,148
N/A
N/A
$9,148
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks which driver will finish first in the 2026 Formula 1 Catalunya Grand Prix held in Barcelona. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, Lewis Hamilton commands a consensus probability of 99.3% to win the race. Resolution will be determined by the Official Formula 1 website results and FIA Final Classification, with secondary verification from credible sports news reporting. Watch for the race conclusion on June 14, 2026, when the FIA publishes its official Final Classification to settle all positions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve on the same core fact: the driver listed in first place in the FIA's official Final Classification for the 2026 Catalunya Grand Prix on June 14, 2026. Resolution timing, source hierarchy, and treatment of post-classification changes are aligned.Primary resolution logic: Official Formula 1 website (formula1.com/en/results/2026/races) and FIA Final Classification; consensus of credible sports news reporting for secondary verification.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the driver officially listed in first place in the FIA Final Classification.
  • Final Classification is published 30-60 minutes after race conclusion and includes all applied time penalties and official adjustments.
  • Disqualifications or changes made after publication of the Final Classification do not affect market resolution.
  • Podium ceremony timing is irrelevant; only the FIA published classification determines the winner.
  • Each driver-specific market resolves YES if that driver finishes first; all others resolve NO.
  • The 'Other' or catch-all category resolves YES only if no listed driver finishes first.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Race Cancellation or Rescheduling: If the 2026 Catalunya Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after June 21, 2026, Polymarket explicitly resolves to Other. Kalshi does not provide explicit guidance for this scenario; resolution would likely be contested or require Kalshi's discretionary ruling.
  • Post-Classification Disqualification: Any disqualification or penalty applied after the FIA publishes the Final Classification does not change market resolution. The classification as published stands.
  • Driver Substitution or Withdrawal: If a listed driver does not start or is replaced by another driver, the market resolves based on the actual first-place finisher in the Final Classification. Markets on withdrawn drivers resolve NO.
  • Placeholder Driver Names (Driver A, B, C, D, E): Polymarket includes generic placeholder questions (Driver A through E). These are likely intended as catch-all or contingency options and will resolve YES only if the actual winner is not covered by a named driver market.
Timing: Resolution occurs 30-90 minutes after the race concludes, following publication of the FIA Final Classification. Markets settle within 24 hours of race conclusion on both platforms.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix, scheduled for Jun 14, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 21, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

The Barcelona Grand Prix 2026 main race is scheduled for June 14, 2026. Resolution is determined by which driver achieves first place (pole position) in the race. Each driver outcome resolves to Yes if that driver finishes in exactly first place in the main race as originally scheduled. Only one driver can finish first, so only one outcome will resolve affirmatively.