TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Catalunya Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap
polymarket
kalshi

Catalunya Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

Volume:
$86,719

Lewis Hamilton

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 3:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lewis Hamilton

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,849
N/A
N/A
$7,462
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lewis Hamilton

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,604
N/A
N/A
$15,827
Settled
No
polymarket

Kimi Antonelli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

George Russell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,480
N/A
N/A
$3,239
Settled
No
polymarket

George Russell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Isack Hadjar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,475
N/A
N/A
$2,897
Settled
No
polymarket

Isack Hadjar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Charles Leclerc

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,825
N/A
N/A
$3,403
Settled
No
polymarket

Charles Leclerc

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Max Verstappen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,714
N/A
N/A
$2,771
Settled
No
polymarket

Max Verstappen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$628
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlos Sainz Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,375
N/A
N/A
$2,059
Settled
No
polymarket

Carlos Sainz Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gabriel Bortoleto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,824
N/A
N/A
$1,348
Settled
No
polymarket

Gabriel Bortoleto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Albon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,202
N/A
N/A
$1,405
Settled
No
polymarket

Alexander Albon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lando Norris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,364
N/A
N/A
$1,171
Settled
No
polymarket

Lando Norris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pierre Gasly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,256
N/A
N/A
$789
Settled
No
polymarket

Pierre Gasly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$975
Settled
No
polymarket

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fernando Alonso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,005
N/A
N/A
$786
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on which driver will achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix (Barcelona), scheduled for June 14, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer individual driver markets and collective outcomes, with consistent resolution tied to the official FIA Final Classification.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical resolution logic: the driver with the fastest valid lap time recorded during the main race on the originally scheduled date (June 14, 2026) wins; cancellation or rescheduling beyond June 21, 2026, or absence of completed laps triggers Other/No resolution.Primary resolution logic: Official Formula 1 website (formula1.com/en/results/2026/races) and FIA Final Classification; consensus of credible sports news reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the driver officially credited with the fastest lap in the FIA Final Classification following the race conclusion
  • The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or other sessions are not considered
  • The race must occur on the originally scheduled date of June 14, 2026
  • If the race is canceled or rescheduled to a date after June 21, 2026, all markets resolve to Other or No
  • If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., red flag ending race prematurely), all markets resolve to Other or No
  • Individual driver markets (e.g., Will Max Verstappen achieve fastest lap?) resolve Yes if that driver records fastest lap, No otherwise
  • Catch-all markets (e.g., any other driver) resolve Yes if a driver not explicitly listed achieves fastest lap

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Race Cancellation or Rescheduling: If the 2026 Catalunya Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after June 21, 2026, all markets resolve to Other (Polymarket) or No (Kalshi)
  • No Completed Laps: If a red flag or other incident prevents any driver from completing a lap, all markets resolve to Other (Polymarket) or No (Kalshi)
  • Fastest Lap Disqualification: If the fastest lap is later disqualified by the FIA, resolution follows the FIA Final Classification as published; the next fastest valid lap would not be substituted
  • Placeholder Driver Names: Markets referencing Driver A, B, C, D, E are ambiguous and cannot be resolved without clarification of actual driver identity; these should be flagged for platform clarification
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately following the publication of the official FIA Final Classification for the 2026 Catalunya Grand Prix, expected within hours of race conclusion on June 14, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix, scheduled for Jun 14, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 21, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which driver records the fastest official lap time in the main race originally scheduled for June 14, 2026 at the 2026 Barcelona Grand Prix, as determined by FIA's published classification. The fastest lap award is given to the driver with the fastest valid lap time during the race.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for the fastest lap outcome at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays the leading prediction for which driver will record the fastest lap in the main race at Barcelona, along with live probability estimates and cumulative trading volume across both platforms. The consensus view reflects how traders across decentralized and regulated prediction markets are pricing this specific race outcome, enabling you to compare cross-platform sentiment and identify divergences in real time.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi reflect trader consensus and are often more dynamic than traditional sportsbook lines because they update continuously as new information emerges. Sportsbooks typically offer fixed odds set by oddsmakers, whereas prediction markets aggregate distributed participant views. For the 2026 Catalunya fastest lap, comparing prediction market probabilities to sportsbook moneylines can reveal value opportunities, though prediction markets may show wider spreads during low-volume periods or when sportsbooks have not yet posted lines.

Key catalysts include driver performance in practice sessions and qualifying, weather forecasts for race day, car setup changes and technical updates, driver injuries or team changes, and real-time pit strategy decisions during the race itself. Qualifying results often signal which drivers have the pace for fastest lap, while weather shifts can favor certain car setups. Team radio communications, tire degradation patterns, and fuel load strategies during the race will also influence which driver has the opportunity and motivation to push for the fastest lap in the final laps.