TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Castrense and Louletano DC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team during regulation time. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These thresholds vary depending on which team wins, creating different levels of certainty for each possible outcome.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Castrense or Louletano DC wins the match during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Castrense must win by more than 2.5 goals, Castrense must win by more than 1.5 goals, Louletano DC must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Louletano DC must win by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific outcome market where the actual goal differential meets or exceeds its threshold. If the match ends in a draw, or if a team wins but does not meet the required differential for any of its associated markets, all markets resolve to 'No'. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, with no consideration given to extra time, penalty shootouts, or any official modifications to the match schedule.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the probability of Louletano DC winning by more than 2.5 goals in regulation time. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of all participants on that platform, with the market price adjusting dynamically based on trading volume and any new developments affecting the teams.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation time, without accounting for extra time or penalty kicks, and will be settled based on official match records.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could all shift this market as the match nears Aug 30, 2026. Momentum swings in earlier matches between the teams or updates from team announcements may also cause traders on Kalshi to reassess the likely spread, driving volume spikes and price adjustments in the final days before resolution.