TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 5:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yanis Ghazouani Durand and Gray Voelzke in the Cassis, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Ghazouani Durand' if Yanis Ghazouani Durand advances against Gray Voelzke. This market will resolve to 'Gray Voelzke' if Gray Voelzke advances against Yanis Ghazouani Durand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yanis Ghazouani Durand and Gray Voelzke in the Cassis, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Ghazouani Durand' if Yanis Ghazouani Durand advances against Gray Voelzke. This market will resolve to 'Gray Voelzke' if Gray Voelzke advances against Yanis Ghazouani Durand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a large number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of that outcome will decrease on Polymarket, potentially offering better value. However, it's important to note that prediction markets and sportsbooks can sometimes align, especially when public opinion strongly favors a specific result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd participating in the market, and allows for real-time adjustments based on new information or changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cassis match between Yanis Ghazouani Durand and Gray Voelzke. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent process. Traders should monitor these sources as the event approaches to understand how the outcome will be verified and when final results will be available.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants on Polymarket can create momentum and impact the overall sentiment, leading to fluctuations in the price of shares representing different outcomes.