TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Perot and Robin Bertrand in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Perot' if Raphael Perot advances against Robin Bertrand. This market will resolve to 'Robin Bertrand' if Robin Bertrand advances against Raphael Perot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Perot and Robin Bertrand in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Perot' if Raphael Perot advances against Robin Bertrand. This market will resolve to 'Robin Bertrand' if Robin Bertrand advances against Raphael Perot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and allow participants to hedge their positions. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they differ significantly from this market’s implied probabilities. It’s important to compare the two to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions. Keep in mind that sportsbooks may have different incentives and information sources than traders on Polymarket, leading to differing perspectives on the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate assessments, as profitable predictions result in financial gains.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cassis match between Raphael Perot and Robin Bertrand. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to payouts based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or strategic changes could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Public opinion and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can indirectly influence trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also shift perceptions of the players’ relative strengths, leading to adjustments in the odds on Polymarket.