TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 6:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxime Janvier and Oskari Paldanius in the Cassis, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxime Janvier' if Maxime Janvier advances against Oskari Paldanius. This market will resolve to 'Oskari Paldanius' if Oskari Paldanius advances against Maxime Janvier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxime Janvier and Oskari Paldanius in the Cassis, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxime Janvier' if Maxime Janvier advances against Oskari Paldanius. This market will resolve to 'Oskari Paldanius' if Oskari Paldanius advances against Maxime Janvier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among participants, and the influence of market sentiment. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for informed traders to capitalize on perceived mispricings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, signaling growing confidence. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Janvier vs Paldanius match, as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. This ensures a fair and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant bets placed by well-known or respected traders could trigger follow-on activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations leading up to Sep 14, 2026.