TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 10:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathieu Scaglia and Robin Bertrand in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathieu Scaglia' if Mathieu Scaglia advances against Robin Bertrand. This market will resolve to 'Robin Bertrand' if Robin Bertrand advances against Mathieu Scaglia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathieu Scaglia and Robin Bertrand in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathieu Scaglia' if Mathieu Scaglia advances against Robin Bertrand. This market will resolve to 'Robin Bertrand' if Robin Bertrand advances against Mathieu Scaglia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can trade on Polymarket to capitalize on the discrepancy. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by a diverse group of participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the Cassis match.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cassis match between Mathieu Scaglia and Robin Bertrand, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, and the shares will be settled accordingly. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either Mathieu Scaglia or Robin Bertrand could impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Cassis event could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could influence traders’ decisions. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market and capitalize on potential price movements.