TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Car and Guillaume Dalmasso in the Cassis, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Car' if Hugo Car advances against Guillaume Dalmasso. This market will resolve to 'Guillaume Dalmasso' if Guillaume Dalmasso advances against Hugo Car. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Car and Guillaume Dalmasso in the Cassis, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Car' if Hugo Car advances against Guillaume Dalmasso. This market will resolve to 'Guillaume Dalmasso' if Guillaume Dalmasso advances against Hugo Car. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise based on differing information, analytical approaches, and levels of public awareness surrounding the Cassis car race. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when information asymmetry exists.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each driver winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular driver, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures that the market price efficiently reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants regarding the Cassis car race.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Cassis car race, determining which driver ultimately achieves the fastest time. The platform will then verify the results against established sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of the race.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to the race. Any news regarding driver performance, mechanical issues with the cars, or changes in weather conditions at the Cassis circuit could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about driver strategies or team decisions might also trigger price movements. Furthermore, major upsets in qualifying rounds or practice sessions could lead to a reassessment of each driver’s chances, impacting the odds in this market until the final race outcome.