TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$32,661

Tommy Paul

 - Kalshi

Tommy Paul - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 1:17 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tommy Paul

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,688
N/A
N/A
$11,538
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Casper Ruud

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,973
N/A
N/A
$11,153
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which player will win the opening set when Casper Ruud faces Tommy Paul in the 2026 French Open Men's Singles Round of 32. On Kalshi, Ruud winning set 1 stands at 63.0%, while Paul winning set 1 is at 37.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result from the professional tennis match scheduled for May 29, 2026. Watch for the actual set outcome during their Round of 32 encounter at Roland Garros.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges. For this Ruud–Paul set 1 matchup, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers. Prediction markets may price in late-breaking player form or injury news faster than sportsbooks update their lines.

The market resolves on May 29, 2026, which coincides with the completion of the first set in the Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul match. The outcome is determined by the official result of set 1 as recorded by the tournament organizer and confirmed by the prediction market platform. Once the set concludes and the winner is verified, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on their position. No further trading occurs after the set is complete.

Several factors could shift odds before the match begins. Recent tournament performance, player rankings, head-to-head records, and surface preference (hard court, clay, grass) all influence trader expectations. Injury announcements or withdrawal news would trigger sharp repricing. Pre-match commentary from analysts and betting syndicates often moves the market as consensus builds. Weather conditions and court conditions announced shortly before play can also sway sentiment. Player motivation—such as ranking points at stake or tournament seeding implications—may affect perceived intensity and set outcome probability.