TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 1:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which player will win the opening set when Casper Ruud faces Tommy Paul in the 2026 French Open Men's Singles Round of 32. On Kalshi, Ruud winning set 1 stands at 63.0%, while Paul winning set 1 is at 37.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result from the professional tennis match scheduled for May 29, 2026. Watch for the actual set outcome during their Round of 32 encounter at Roland Garros.
The market resolves on May 29, 2026, which coincides with the completion of the first set in the Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul match. The outcome is determined by the official result of set 1 as recorded by the tournament organizer and confirmed by the prediction market platform. Once the set concludes and the winner is verified, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on their position. No further trading occurs after the set is complete.
Several factors could shift odds before the match begins. Recent tournament performance, player rankings, head-to-head records, and surface preference (hard court, clay, grass) all influence trader expectations. Injury announcements or withdrawal news would trigger sharp repricing. Pre-match commentary from analysts and betting syndicates often moves the market as consensus builds. Weather conditions and court conditions announced shortly before play can also sway sentiment. Player motivation—such as ranking points at stake or tournament seeding implications—may affect perceived intensity and set outcome probability.