TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional tennis players compete in the Round of 16 at the 2026 French Open Men's Singles tournament. The outcome depends on who wins the first set of their match.
On Kalshi, the Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 Winner market is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the crowd's collective estimate of that outcome's probability, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by correctly predicting which player will win the set. Kalshi's order book shows real-time bid-ask spreads, allowing you to execute trades at current market prices or place limit orders to wait for your target entry point.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026 or shortly after the conclusion of the first set in the Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca match. Resolution is determined by the official result of Set 1 as recorded by the tournament or match officials. Once the set concludes and the winner is confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on which outcome they held. Positions in the winning outcome are worth 100 cents; losing positions expire worthless. Check the market details for any specific tie-break or rules clarifications that may apply to this particular event.
Several factors can shift odds before the match begins and during Set 1. Pre-match signals include recent tournament form, head-to-head records, court surface preference, and player fitness updates. During the set, live performance—such as early breaks, service holds, or momentum swings—will drive rapid repricing as traders react to on-court action. Weather conditions, crowd energy, and tactical adjustments can also influence the flow of the set. News of injuries, coaching changes, or unexpected player statements may trigger sharp moves in the market as traders reassess probabilities in real time.