TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Casa Pia AC vs. Moreirense FC
Volume:
$176,051
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between Casa Pia AC and Moreirense FC scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Casa Pia win, Moreirense win, or draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling divergence: Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on full cancellation, while all other markets (Polymarket win markets and all Kalshi markets) resolve No. This creates a logical inconsistency in how the three mutually exclusive outcomes are treated under the same edge case.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no rescheduling, the draw market on Polymarket will be the only winner. Traders should note this asymmetry and consider it when building cross-platform hedges. In normal match completion scenarios, all platforms resolve consistently.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Draw market: resolves Yes on full cancellation. Win markets (Casa Pia and Moreirense): resolve No on full cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve "No"' (wins).
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Moreirense win, Tie, Casa Pia win) follow standard sports resolution: each resolves Yes only if that specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard practice implies No resolution on cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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