TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Porto
- Kalshi
Porto - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 12, 2026
Closed: Sep 12, 3:14 PM EST
Kalshi
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Casa Pia and FC Porto have 3 or more total goals?
Intro
This market tracks the Over/Under 4.5 goals for the Casa Pia AC versus FC Porto Primeira Liga match. Currently, the consensus probability of Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5 is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi, all of which will resolve based on the official final score reported by ligaportugal.pt. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 12, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms consistently define resolution based on the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a clear fallback data source hierarchy and cancellation/postponement rules.Primary resolution logic: ligaportugal.ptCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the official final score of the match (90 minutes + stoppage time).
- If the official source is unavailable, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
- Postponed matches will remain open until completed.
- Canceled matches (without a make-up game) will resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- No Official Score: If no official score is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50.
- Score Revision: Revisions to the official score after market resolution will not be considered.
Polymarket
More markets for the Primeira Liga game, scheduled for September 12 at 1:00 PM ET.
Kalshi
The market resolves based on the result of the Casa Pia vs Porto professional Liga Portugal soccer game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Casa Pia wins, the 'Casa Pia' market resolves to Yes. If Porto wins, the 'Porto' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by Casa Pia and FC Porto is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Primeira Liga match scheduled for September 12, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Portuguese Liga Portugal market can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume, currently at $932,472 over the last 24 hours, also plays a role; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. Additionally, the specific market design and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the prices observed. These differences are a natural consequence of decentralized markets operating independently.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Casa Pia AC or FC Porto would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news regarding coaching changes or internal team dynamics could also shift probabilities. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.
