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400,720

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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Giles Hussey vs William Manning?

Volume:
$601,219

William Manning

 - Kalshi

William Manning - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 11:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

William Manning

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$327,707
N/A
N/A
$204,150
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Giles Hussey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$231,712
N/A
N/A
$147,791
Settled
No
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cary: Giles Hussey vs William Manning Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers a professional tennis match between Giles Hussey and William Manning in the 2026 ATP Challenger tournament in Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The group includes 24 markets spanning match winner, set winners, game totals, set handicaps, and match completion status across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides granular edge-case handling (retirement/default/disqualification = winner advances; walkover = 50-50; cancellation/7-day delay = 50-50), while Kalshi uses only an "after a ball has been played" trigger with no specification for forfeits, incomplete matches, or cancellations.Hero tip: Polymarket markets are more resolvable due to explicit edge-case rules. Kalshi's binary trigger is ambiguous on whether a retirement after one ball counts as a resolution event. Traders should assume Kalshi requires a completed match or explicit winner determination, but verify with platform support before wagering on scenarios involving forfeits or early retirements.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Detailed resolution framework: match winner resolves to advancing player; completed match requires all games/sets per governing rules; walkover = 50-50; retirement/default/disqualification = winner advances; cancellation/7-day delay = 50-50. Set and game markets resolve 50-50 if not completed. Primary source: ATP Tour official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
  • Kalshi: Minimal binary framework: market resolves Yes if either player wins "after a ball has been played" in the Round Of 32 match. No explicit handling of walkovers, retirements, defaults, disqualifications, cancellations, or delays. Scope limited to match winner outcome only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Giles Hussey and William Manning in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giles Hussey' if Giles Hussey advances against William Manning. This market will resolve to 'William Manning' if William Manning advances against Giles Hussey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers the Hussey vs Manning professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Cary Round of 32. Resolution requires that a ball has been played in the match. If the match does not occur before play begins due to player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close after the rescheduled match concludes, provided the rescheduling occurs within two weeks of the original date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous buy-sell mechanisms. This market's odds emerge from thousands of independent traders wagering real capital, often reflecting sharper information than traditional oddsmakers. Prediction market prices tend to adjust faster to breaking news and can reveal asymmetries when compared to sportsbook lines, making them valuable for identifying mispriced outcomes or confirming consensus.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates distinct order books, user bases, and fee structures, which naturally produce price variation even for identical events. Polymarket may attract traders with different risk appetites or information sets than Kalshi, causing temporary divergence. Liquidity depth, trading hours, and platform-specific rules also influence how quickly prices converge. Savvy traders monitor both venues to spot arbitrage opportunities or to gauge which platform's crowd is more confident in a particular outcome.