TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Edward Winter and Andrew Fenty in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edward Winter' if Edward Winter advances against Andrew Fenty. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Fenty' if Andrew Fenty advances against Edward Winter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Edward Winter and Andrew Fenty in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edward Winter' if Edward Winter advances against Andrew Fenty. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Fenty' if Andrew Fenty advances against Edward Winter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader conviction and information flow. This market aggregates the collective judgment of thousands of participants wagering real money on the outcome, which can reveal insights that differ from traditional oddsmakers. Comparing the two can highlight where public sentiment diverges from professional bookmaker positioning.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the real-time probability assigned by the crowd; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the price adjusts dynamically. Higher demand for one fighter's shares pushes that outcome's price up and its implied win probability higher, while the opposing outcome moves in the opposite direction. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new developments.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome will be determined by the official result of the bout between the two fighters. Once the fight concludes and the result is publicly confirmed, this market will settle accordingly, paying out to holders of the correct outcome share.
Several factors could shift odds before the bout takes place. Injury announcements or training camp reports about either fighter's condition often trigger sharp moves. Weigh-in results, recent sparring footage, or credible analyst commentary can sway trader conviction. Changes in fighter motivation, coaching staff adjustments, or unexpected venue or rule modifications may also influence pricing. Media coverage and public sentiment can amplify these moves, especially if one fighter gains momentum in the lead-up to the event.