TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 10:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in an upcoming football game between two teams, offering various thresholds for how much one team might win by over the other. Each threshold represents a different level of victory margin that can be achieved in the game.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the Carolina vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for August 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the winning team exceeds that threshold. If Jacksonville wins by more than the specified points, the respective 'Jacksonville wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Carolina wins by more than the specified points, the corresponding 'Carolina wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, and only the market matching the exact point differential threshold achieved will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The governing league's official score will be used to determine outcomes, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and event-specific dynamics. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders watch both sources for clues, but this market reflects the collective wisdom of Kalshi participants rather than official sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through active buying and selling of contracts that represent possible point spread outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the market’s collective view of which team is favored and by how many points. As new information emerges — like player injuries or weather forecasts — traders adjust their positions, causing the odds to shift. This dynamic pricing lets participants react faster than traditional sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread reported after the game’s official conclusion determines the result, and the market settles based on that verified difference in scores.
Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, weather updates affecting game conditions, coaching changes, and pre-game betting trends. Any development that changes perceptions of team performance or competitiveness can cause traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions, moving the implied odds closer to or further from sportsbook lines as the event approaches.