TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 9:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Carolina or Jacksonville during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
The markets collectively assess whether Carolina or Jacksonville will win the second quarter by exceeding various point differentials, ranging from minimal margins to substantial leads. Each market specifies a different threshold—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—for either team to win the quarter. The resolution hinges exclusively on points scored during the second quarter of play, with all markets sharing this secondary rule. If the actual point differential meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves positively for the corresponding team; otherwise, it resolves negatively. The structure allows participants to bet on varying levels of dominance in the quarter, from narrow victories to decisive wins.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are set by traders who may have more granular, real-time insights into team performance trends. While sportsbooks incorporate broader public betting patterns and adjusted lines, prediction markets can shift more quickly based on smaller, informed bets, potentially offering sharper or more volatile pricing.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set the odds for this market based on their expectations of the second-quarter point spread. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants about which team will cover the spread during that specific quarter, with price adjustments occurring as new game-related information emerges or as trading volume fluctuates.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics for the second quarter, specifically the point differential between the two teams at the end of that period.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions on game day, and strategic coaching decisions could all shift this market. Any announcement about starting lineups or significant changes in team performance leading up to the game may also cause traders to re-evaluate their positions, moving the odds based on new expectations for the second-quarter spread.