TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team's defense can tackle the opposing quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specific thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team in the Carolina vs Cleveland Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Carolina or Cleveland, resolving to Yes if the respective team achieves that threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the collective insight of traders on Kalshi. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than those offered by traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of sacks. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as profitable trading relies on correctly anticipating market movements. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time probability assessment of the event’s outcome, based solely on trader activity.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded during the Carolina versus Cleveland NFL game will determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key offensive linemen or defensive players on either team would be significant catalysts. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and therefore the number of sacks. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in the defensive schemes could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news or social media, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.