TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track rushing performance thresholds for specific players in an upcoming football game. They resolve based on whether the designated player achieves particular yardage milestones during the match. Settlement considers player participation status and snap counts to determine validity.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified player records the designated rushing yardage threshold in the Carolina vs Cleveland professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly based on the rushing yards actually recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for both Quinshon Judkins and Deshaun Watson, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance against each yardage target regardless of the specific threshold level.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price to reflect their collective view. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of probabilities. The current market price indicates the probability that the total rushing yards will fall within the range represented by that contract.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total rushing yards achieved by both the Carolina and Cleveland teams will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their contracts following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the expected rushing yard totals. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks can also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or player matchups could lead to shifts in the market as traders adjust their expectations.