TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:26 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game, offering multiple thresholds for each player to test predictive accuracy on their performance.
All markets resolve based on the total receptions recorded by specified players during the Carolina vs Cleveland Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. Each market has a defined threshold (e.g., 2+, 3+, up to 11+), and if the player meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The markets are independent, and each player's performance is evaluated separately against their respective thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own insights, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, injuries, or strategic matchups, and the market’s ability to quickly incorporate new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total receptions in the Carolina vs Cleveland game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair value for each possible reception total.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals from the Carolina vs Cleveland game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual total receptions fall within the ranges defined by the contracts available on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Carolina or Cleveland teams would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor a passing or running game, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news about player availability, could all contribute to shifts in the market price as traders react to new information.