TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of quarterbacks Deshaun Watson and Bryce Young in a specific NFL game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns each player achieves. The outcomes depend entirely on the in-game statistics of these two players, reflecting their offensive contributions during the match.
The markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by either Deshaun Watson or Bryce Young in the Carolina vs Cleveland NFL game scheduled for September 27, 2026. For each player, if they record the specified minimum number of passing touchdowns (ranging from 1 to 4), the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule states that if a quarterback is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These provisions ensure that markets are resolved fairly, accounting for both player participation and in-game performance.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective belief of traders willing to put their capital at risk. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, and can be a useful tool for identifying potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing touchdowns. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price accurately reflects the current consensus view of the event's probability. The current volume indicates active trading and a degree of confidence in the market’s assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Carolina versus Cleveland game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning contract. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result. It’s important to monitor official sources for the game results as they become available following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions for passing, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or player matchups could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed traders could signal shifts in expectations and trigger further price movements as we approach the Sep 27, 2026 resolution.