TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks Deshaun Watson and Bryce Young in a specific football game between Carolina and Cleveland. It focuses on how many times each quarterback's passes are intercepted by the opposing team during the match.
The event evaluates whether Deshaun Watson or Bryce Young records a specified number of passing interceptions in the Carolina vs Cleveland Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+) for each quarterback. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. All markets are independent, and each resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified interception threshold is met by the respective quarterback. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may suggest the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. It’s common to see differing opinions on the likelihood of events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each potential result. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Carolina versus Cleveland game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any strategic adjustments announced by either team's coaching staff, or even late-breaking reports on defensive matchups, could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly. Unexpected news about player availability is a key catalyst.