TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of quarterbacks Deshaun Watson and Bryce Young in an upcoming football game between Carolina and Cleveland. The outcomes depend on whether each player achieves specific passing completion thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total passing completions recorded by the named quarterback—Deshaun Watson or Bryce Young—during the Carolina vs Cleveland Professional Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the quarterback is active for the team but does not take a single snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once the quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing completions recorded during the game. Each market has a distinct threshold for resolution (e.g., 14+, 19+, or 24+ completions for Watson; 15+, 20+, or 25+ completions for Young), and the outcome is determined solely by whether the player meets or exceeds their respective target. The markets are independent of league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, information access, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see the market odds adjust as new information becomes available and more traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the number of passing completions. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing mechanism to ensure that the market remains liquid and responsive to new information. This allows traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the final result.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions in the Carolina versus Cleveland game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the actual number of passing completions will receive a payout of 1.00, while those holding losing contracts will receive 0.00.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or player availability could also lead to shifts in trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also trigger noticeable changes in the odds as we approach Sep 27, 2026.