TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
For the game between Carolina and Cleveland, this event will confirm if either team achieves a touchdown via a defensive play or special teams maneuver. These types of touchdowns occur when players return turnovers or successfully execute returns on kicks or punts for a score.
If Carolina or Cleveland record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Carolina vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the goal of balancing action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as prediction markets can incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may not immediately account for. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders directly set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price represents the probability that a D/ST will score a touchdown in the Carolina vs Cleveland game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe a D/ST touchdown is likely, the price will rise, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether either the Carolina or Cleveland defensive/special teams unit scores a touchdown during the game. Official game statistics and play-by-play data will be used to determine if a D/ST touchdown occurred. The final result will be based on the official game results as reported by recognized sports data providers.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key defensive players for either team – injuries, suspensions, or changes in playing time – would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of a D/ST touchdown, as they can lead to turnovers and special teams plays. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception or analysis regarding the teams’ defensive capabilities could drive price movement in this market.