TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of outcomes between the first half and the full game result in an upcoming football match. Each market requires both the first half leader and the final game winner (or tie) to match predefined conditions for resolution.
Each market resolves based on the combined outcome of both the first half and the full game result, including any overtime periods. For a market to resolve as Yes, both the specified first half result and the full game result must match exactly. If either the first half or full game result does not align with the market's conditions, it resolves to No. Postponements that occur within 48 hours of the original start time allow the market to remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent and require precise alignment of both halves' and full game outcomes to settle positively.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large influx of information or as the event draws nearer. This provides a different perspective on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate diverse opinions and generate a forecast that is often more accurate than traditional methods.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Carolina vs Cleveland game – specifically, the 1st Half / Fulltime Result – will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official result is announced.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or key player availability would likely cause immediate price adjustments. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, influencing how traders assess the probabilities of different outcomes. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.