TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which player or team unit will score the first touchdown for Cleveland in an upcoming professional football game against Carolina. It covers various potential scorers, including individual players and the defensive unit, providing a detailed look at possible offensive outcomes for the team.
The event determines whether any specified Cleveland player, the Cleveland defensive unit, or no touchdown at all will score the first touchdown for Cleveland in the professional football game against Carolina. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, resolving to Yes if that entity scores the first touchdown. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts; once a snap is taken, resolution depends on whether that player scores the first touchdown. If no Cleveland touchdowns are scored, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player and unit markets resolve to No. The defensive unit market operates under the same snap and touchdown criteria. All markets are independent, with resolution contingent on game outcomes and participant involvement.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the game and potential scoring plays.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different players scoring the first touchdown. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that player scoring first, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new data and opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, following the conclusion of the Carolina versus Cleveland football game. The outcome will be determined by identifying the player who officially scores the first touchdown for Cleveland, as verified against credible public reporting. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for confirming the resolution of this market. Any scoring plays subject to review or overturned calls will be considered based on the final, official game results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding player injuries to key offensive players for Cleveland, particularly the running back or wide receiver positions, would likely cause price shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expectations about the type of offensive plays called and therefore the potential first touchdown scorer. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could move this market as traders react to the latest information.