TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on determining the margin of victory for either Carolina or Buffalo specifically within the fourth quarter of their scheduled game on August 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that final quarter.
These markets assess varying point-spread thresholds for the fourth-quarter performance in the Carolina vs. Buffalo game scheduled for August 15, 2026. Each rule defines a specific margin by which either team must win the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. The thresholds range from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, applied separately for both teams. Crucially, only points scored during the fourth quarter—excluding any overtime periods—are considered when evaluating these markets. This structure allows participants to speculate on the dominance of either team strictly within the final quarter of regulation play.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment through dynamically updated probabilities. Sportsbook odds often incorporate additional factors like historical performance and public betting trends, which can create differences in implied probabilities. Prediction market odds may shift more rapidly in response to real-time news or injury updates. The contrast between these two pricing models provides a unique perspective on how different groups evaluate the likelihood of outcomes in the 4th quarter spread market.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread recorded in the official game statistics for the fourth quarter will set the result, closing this market based on observable, public data.
Key moments such as player injuries, coaching strategies, and weather conditions could significantly impact this market as Aug 15, 2026 approaches. Quarter-by-quarter performance trends and momentum shifts may also cause traders to adjust their expectations. Any last-minute roster changes or strategic decisions by either team could lead to noticeable movements in trading activity and odds before settlement.