TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 3:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between Carolina and Buffalo. It captures the competitive performance of both teams during a specific segment of the match, highlighting short-term scoring ability rather than overall game outcome.
The market determines the winner of the third quarter in the Carolina vs Buffalo Pro Football game scheduled for August 15, 2026. If Buffalo scores the most points during the third quarter, the 'Buffalo wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Carolina scores the most points during that quarter, the 'Carolina wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points in the third quarter, the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes, and all team-specific markets resolve to No. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and the broader game result does not affect the resolution.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and sharp betting patterns. While sportsbooks may lean on broader public betting trends, this market can react faster to injury updates, weather changes, or strategic shifts that specifically impact the third-quarter momentum.
On Kalshi, traders currently set the odds for the 3rd quarter winner market through continuous bidding and asking. The top outcome’s implied probability reflects collective expectations based on recent performance and matchup dynamics. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Volume of $4,447 shows trader interest, while the 24-hour volume of $2,914 captures short-term shifts in sentiment. As the game approaches, any changes in starting lineups, weather conditions, or key player injuries could cause rapid re-pricing.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by the team leading at the end of the third quarter, as officially recorded in the game’s box score and broadcast records.
In the coming weeks, anything altering the teams’ momentum or strategies could shift this market. Key injuries, coaching adjustments, or changes to game plans may sway trader sentiment. Public polls and expert analyses often influence pricing too. As Aug 15, 2026 nears, real-time updates from pre-game warmups or last-minute lineup decisions might trigger sharp movements. All of these factors will be reflected in how traders adjust their bets on Kalshi ahead of resolution.