TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 2:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Carolina or Buffalo during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets determine whether Buffalo or Carolina wins the second quarter of their Pro Football game by exceeding specified point differentials. All outcomes are evaluated solely based on points scored during the second quarter of play. Markets are structured with varying thresholds — from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points — for both teams, allowing participants to speculate on the exact margin of victory. If the winning team surpasses the stated threshold in the second quarter, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the second quarter count, and the markets are independent of the overall game result. The markets are not endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and volume of $8,358, while sportsbooks set their lines using a mix of historical data, public betting trends, and expert analysis. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities between the two, especially as game dynamics shift. Traders in this market may see more volatility compared to sportsbook odds, which tend to be more stable. Understanding these differences helps you evaluate where the perceived edge might lie between prediction markets and sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically the point differential between the two teams during the second quarter of play.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions on game day, and strategic adjustments by coaches can all impact this market. Additionally, any significant changes in team performance leading up to the event, such as dominant preseason games or surprising practice reports, may cause traders to reassess their positions and shift the odds accordingly.