TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many times each team's defense can tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether either team reaches certain thresholds of these tackles during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the Carolina vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Atlanta or Carolina, and resolves to Yes if the respective team achieves that threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual commencement.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, particularly as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders reacting to news, injuries, and other factors influencing the expected number of sacks. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome for the total number of sacks in the game. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a dynamic and real-time indication of expectations. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and incorrect ones result in losses. This mechanism aims to converge towards a fair and efficient price.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks officially recorded during the Carolina vs Atlanta game will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of sacks will receive a payout, while those with losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any potential game changes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key defensive players on both the Carolina and Atlanta teams are primary catalysts. News regarding the offensive line performance of either team – particularly any vulnerabilities – would also be influential. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect passing plays and potentially reduce sack opportunities. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in defensive schemes could shift trader sentiment and cause the price of contracts to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading in this market.