TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific player, Bijan Robinson, achieves various yardage milestones in a football game between Carolina and Atlanta. The focus is on the combined total of rushing and receiving yards accumulated by the player during the match. Different thresholds define separate outcomes for the event.
The event evaluates whether Bijan Robinson achieves specified combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds in the Carolina vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct yardage benchmark (130+, 155+, and 180+ yards). If Robinson is active for the game but does not take a snap, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once Robinson takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve based on the actual combined yards he records during the game. These rules ensure that outcomes reflect actual performance once gameplay commences, while accounting for pre-game uncertainties regarding player participation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer. However, initial sportsbook lines can provide a useful benchmark for understanding where the market begins its price discovery process.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of the combined rushing and receiving yards falling within a specific range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, creating a dynamic market price. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. This mechanism allows for efficient price discovery and provides a real-time gauge of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the Carolina and Atlanta players are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals from official game statistics will determine whether contracts settle above or below the designated threshold. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final yardage total and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either team are significant catalysts, as they directly impact expected yardage totals. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game plan and player performance. News regarding coaching strategies or changes in offensive line personnel could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or team tendencies could lead to price movements as traders adjust their positions based on the latest available data.