TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often a specific player, Bijan Robinson, carries the ball during a football game between Carolina and Atlanta. The outcome depends on whether he reaches certain thresholds of rushing attempts. The rules account for scenarios where the player might not play or have snaps nullified by penalties.
The markets resolve based on whether Bijan Robinson records a specified number of rushing attempts (16+, 19+, or 22+) in the Carolina vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 20, 2026. If Robinson is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Robinson takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual number of rushing attempts he records during the game. These rules ensure clarity in resolving outcomes even under unusual game conditions, such as inactive players or nullified plays.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may be influenced by promotional considerations or a desire to balance their book. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome, creating a more direct reflection of collective intelligence. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market can diverge as new information emerges and traders update their forecasts. It's common to see differences between the two, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different rushing attempts totals. The current price of a contract indicates the probability that the actual rushing attempts total will be above or below that number. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, analysis, and their own risk tolerance, which drives the price fluctuations. The more contracts bought at a specific total, the higher the price for that total, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing attempts total from the Carolina vs Atlanta game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the settlement of this market. All contracts will be settled based on whether the actual total is above or below the contract's specified number. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and accurate outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either the Carolina or Atlanta teams would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the teams' offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, with inclement weather potentially leading to a more run-heavy approach. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or player matchups could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' running game could influence trading activity and move the price of contracts in this market.