TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specific athletes or units achieve predetermined fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the match, measured by a standardized fantasy scoring system.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or defensive units in the full Carolina vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026, including overtime. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, with precise yardage, touchdown, and other statistical conversions detailed in the provided scoring format. If a player does not participate or is not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper, they are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding. Markets resolve to "Yes" if the specified athlete or defensive unit exceeds their designated fantasy point threshold; otherwise, they resolve to "No". The markets are independent of each other and are not affiliated with the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available in traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade contracts, potentially leading to odds that more accurately represent the true probability of different outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to news and developments, sometimes moving ahead of sportsbook adjustments. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing market participants and risk appetites.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different fantasy point totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing expectations. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point total, as calculated by official fantasy football scoring rules, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the publicly available and verified final statistics for the Carolina and Atlanta game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total fantasy points scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Carolina or Atlanta teams are significant catalysts, as they directly impact potential fantasy point production. Unexpected changes in weather conditions could also play a role, affecting passing and rushing attempts. News regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or performance could lead to substantial price movements as traders react to the new data.