TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:46 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional football game between two teams where the focus is on whether either team scores a touchdown through defensive or special teams play. This particular match is scheduled for a specific date in the future. The outcome depends solely on the occurrence of such scoring plays during the game.
If Carolina or Atlanta record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Carolina vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, incorporating factors like team statistics and expert opinions. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, potentially leading to odds that more accurately represent the collective belief of informed bettors. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuous market versus a fixed-odds offering. It's useful to compare to see where the public consensus differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the Carolina or Atlanta defense/special teams scoring a touchdown. As more people buy contracts indicating 'yes,' the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likelihood of this event occurring. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay to own a contract that pays out if a D/ST touchdown is scored.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, following the conclusion of the Carolina vs Atlanta game. The outcome will be determined by whether a defensive or special teams unit from either the Carolina Panthers or the Atlanta Falcons scores a touchdown during the game. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official game sources. The final score and play-by-play data will be used to confirm whether a D/ST touchdown occurred, triggering payout for winning contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key defensive players for either team – injuries, suspensions, or changes in playing time – would likely cause movement. Significant shifts in weather forecasts, particularly conditions favoring strong defensive play, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected changes in offensive strategies, or reports suggesting a greater focus on special teams, might also move the market. Finally, general game-day sentiment and early betting trends from sportsbooks can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.