TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 5:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which Atlanta player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Carolina. Each market corresponds to a specific Atlanta player or the defense, with outcomes determined by who crosses the goal line first for Atlanta.
These markets determine whether a specified Atlanta player or the Falcons' defense scores the first touchdown in the game against Carolina. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the designated player or unit scores Atlanta's initial touchdown. If the player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes a snap, resolution depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Atlanta touchdowns occur, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to 'Yes,' and all player-specific markets resolve to 'No.' These rules apply uniformly across all player and unit markets for this event.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It’s common to see the odds on Kalshi converge with sportsbook lines as the game draws nearer, though discrepancies can still arise due to differing market participants and risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes—in this case, which player will score the first touchdown. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. The closer we get to the game, the more volatile the prices may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions. The current price reflects the collective expectation of when the first touchdown will occur.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown in the Carolina versus Atlanta game, as determined by official game statistics. The official game records will be used to verify the outcome, and the market will settle accordingly. Any disputes regarding the official scoring will be resolved based on the official game results as reported by the league. The outcome will be determined by the official game statistics.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players on either team, particularly the Atlanta Falcons, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if adverse conditions are predicted, could also influence the market, as they affect the likelihood of passing versus running plays. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or team strategy will likely move the market until the game begins.