TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 7:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which player will win the second set of a specific tennis match at the 2026 US Open. It tracks the performance of the two athletes during a critical portion of their competition, reflecting their endurance and strategy under pressure.
The market resolves based on which player wins the second set of the specified tennis match at the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128. If the match does not occur before any play due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, it resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires during the match, markets that can be settled based on completed play resolve accordingly, while unresolved markets settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set prices through their bids and offers, creating a dynamic market price that adjusts with each new trade. The current top outcome’s implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about which player is more likely to win set two. This mechanism allows rapid price changes in response to breaking news, form updates, or other in-play developments that affect trader confidence.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of set two will be determined by the official match result, and that data will be used to settle all positions. Timing depends on when the match concludes and the results are widely reported, ensuring a clear and transparent resolution process.
Key signals such as player injuries, recent form, or tactical changes could shift this market leading up to resolution. For instance, a strong performance in the first set, changes in serving patterns, or any disruption during play may cause traders to reassess probabilities. Media updates, expert commentary, and even weather conditions (if relevant) can also influence trader sentiment and drive price movement as the match approaches.