TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Carlisle United FC vs. Southend United FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Carlisle United FC vs. Southend United FC?

Volume:
$14,743

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 2:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,317
N/A
N/A
$2,784
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Carlisle United FC vs. Southend United FC)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Southend

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,489
N/A
N/A
$4,603
Settled
No
polymarket

Southend United FC

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlisle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,289
N/A
N/A
$2,267
Settled
No
polymarket

Carlisle United FC

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,591
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Carlisle United FC and Southend United FC scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets exist for Carlisle winning, Southend winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets define resolution based on the same 90+ minute timeframe and have consistent logic for win/draw/cancel scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (The National League).

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team resolves the corresponding win market to 'Yes' and the other win market to 'No'.
  • A draw resolves the draw market to 'Yes' and both win markets to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Extra Time/Penalties: Extra time and penalties are explicitly excluded from the resolution criteria.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are published, ideally within 2 hours of the event's conclusion. Fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting) will be used if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming National League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Carlisle United FC and Southend United FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Carlisle vs Southend professional English National League soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Carlisle win, Southend win, or a tie. If Carlisle scores more goals than Southend by the end of regulation time, the Carlisle market resolves positively. Conversely, if Southend scores more goals, their market resolves positively. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the Tie market resolves positively. No extra time or penalty shootouts are considered in determining the outcome. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders who have ‘skin in the game.’ This market’s prices are driven by individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the result, potentially incorporating unique data or insights not fully captured by sportsbooks. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage, where informed traders exploit discrepancies between the two types of markets.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity levels, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the 24-hour volume of $8,632 may be concentrated on one platform versus the other at any given time, creating temporary imbalances. Different risk appetites among traders on each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies, as can varying interpretations of available information regarding the Carlisle vs. Southend match.