TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 8:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific mixed martial arts bout will conclude within a certain number of rounds. The outcome depends on the actual duration of the fight as it occurs during the scheduled competition. It reflects the potential for a quick resolution in the sport.
The event evaluates two possible outcomes for the Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves UFC Fight Night match scheduled for August 22, 2026, focusing on how many rounds the fight lasts. The first outcome triggers if the fight concludes before round 2, while the second activates if it ends before round 3. Both markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The event essentially measures the fight's brevity, with resolution hinging on whether the contest is stopped early, either within the first round or before the third round begins. No other conditions or market-specific interpretations alter these primary criteria.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous buying and selling of contracts that represent possible finish scenarios. The current implied probability for each outcome is displayed as a percentage, derived from the relative price of contracts. This mechanism allows for dynamic adjustments based on new information, such as training updates or promotional events, shaping the market’s direction as the fight approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official recording of how the fight ends — whether by knockout, submission, or a decision — and will be reflected based on widely accepted fight records and announcements.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key events include pre-fight media appearances, training updates or injuries, changes in betting momentum, and any last-minute fight announcements. Significant developments may cause traders to reassess the likelihood of various finish types, influencing odds and volume on Kalshi as the event draws nearer.