TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 8:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a UFC fight between Carli Judice and Jeisla Chaves scheduled for August 22, 2026. It covers various ways the fight could conclude, including victories by either fighter or a draw. The focus is on how the fight ends rather than just who wins.
The market resolves based on the specific method of victory or conclusion of the UFC fight between Carli Judice and Jeisla Chaves scheduled for August 22, 2026. If Carli Judice wins by KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Jeisla Chaves wins by KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision, that market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw or no contest, the relevant market resolves to Yes. Each outcome is evaluated independently, and the market is resolved based strictly on the official result of the fight as declared by the governing authority. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in nuanced factors or real-time developments that sportsbooks might not immediately adjust for. The volume of $355,993 shows strong trader interest, but keep in mind that prediction market prices can shift rapidly based on new data, whereas sportsbook lines change according to their own models and risk management. Comparing the two provides a broader view of market expectations for the Judice vs Chaves victory method.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact victory method — whether by knockout, submission, or decision — will be determined by the official result of the bout, which is then matched to the corresponding market outcome on Kalshi.