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Caribbean Premier League: St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots vs St. Lucia Kings - Most Sixes
polymarket
kalshi

What team will hit more sixes?

Volume:
$19,639

Guyana Amazon Warriors over 139.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Guyana Amazon Warriors over 139.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 10:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guyana Amazon Warriors over 139.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,201
N/A
N/A
$10,747
Settled
No
kalshi

St. Lucia Kings over 139.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,807
N/A
N/A
$2,062
Settled
No
kalshi

St. Lucia Kings over 189.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,312
N/A
N/A
$1,451
Settled
No
kalshi

St. Lucia Kings over 164.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,074
N/A
N/A
$1,765
Settled
No
kalshi

Guyana Amazon Warriors over 164.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$980
N/A
N/A
$980
Settled
No
kalshi

Guyana Amazon Warriors over 189.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
$194
Settled
No
polymarket

ST

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

STL

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This prediction group concerns which team, St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots or St. Lucia Kings, will hit the most sixes in their upcoming Caribbean Premier League cricket match. A 'Draw' outcome is possible if both teams hit the same number of sixes. Only sixes scored from the bat count towards the total.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets relate to a different match (St. Lucia Kings vs. Guyana Amazon Warriors) and are entirely irrelevant to the stated question about St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots vs. St. Lucia Kings.Hero tip: Ignore the Kalshi markets entirely. They are for a different match and will not resolve this event group. Focus solely on the Polymarket markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Focuses on the number of sixes hit by each team in the St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots vs. St. Lucia Kings match, resolving to the team with the most sixes or 'Draw' if tied. Key Quote: "The outcome corresponding to St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots will be considered correct if St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than St. Lucia Kings."
  • Kalshi: Concerns the total runs scored by St. Lucia Kings and Guyana Amazon Warriors in a separate match, with thresholds for 'Yes' outcomes. Key Quote: "If the total runs scored by St. Lucia Kings is above 139.5 in the St. Lucia Kings vs Guyana Amazon Warriors Caribbean Premier League cricket match originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots and St. Lucia Kings scheduled for 2026-09-03 in Caribbean Premier League. The outcome corresponding to St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots will be considered correct if St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than St. Lucia Kings.The outcome corresponding to St. Lucia Kings will be considered correct if St. Lucia Kings is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total runs scored by each team in the specified Caribbean Premier League cricket match. If a team’s runs exceed the threshold defined in the market (e.g., 139.5, 164.5, or 189.5), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Pre-match cancellations result in all markets resolving to fair market price. If play begins but no official result is declared—including via Duckworth-Lewis-Stern (DLS) method—all markets resolve to fair market price, except for those based on already achieved statistics, which resolve on recorded results. For matches shortened and given an official result (e.g., via DLS), match winner markets resolve per the official result, while statistical markets resolve strictly on actual recorded runs without projections or adjustments. Any match delayed beyond 48 hours from its scheduled start time also resolves to fair market price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this market tracks the consensus view on which team – the St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots or the St. Lucia Kings – will hit the most sixes during their Caribbean Premier League match. Currently, Polymarket shows a strong inclination toward a Draw with a chance percentage of 97, while volume remains at 0. The dashboard aggregates trading activity across both platforms, providing a comprehensive look at predictions. Total volume for the CPL Patriots vs Kings sixes market is $19,639, with $19,639 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see where the crowd believes the most value lies.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief and influence the price. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. This market, for example, may show a different probability distribution for the number of sixes hit than a typical sportsbook, potentially identifying mispriced opportunities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and platform-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors a Draw at 97, while Kalshi leans toward different outcomes. These differences can arise from varying levels of information available to traders on each platform, or simply from the independent actions of different groups of participants. Furthermore, the liquidity and depth of the market can vary between the two platforms, impacting price discovery and potentially creating arbitrage opportunities. The volume of trading on this market is currently $19,639.

Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team lineups for either the St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots or the St. Lucia Kings would likely cause movement. Weather forecasts predicting rain, which could shorten the match and impact scoring opportunities, could also influence trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' batting strengths could drive changes in the price of this market, especially with a current volume of $19,639.